Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Jan 9th, 2019

Stephanie Barritt • January 9, 2019

The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at 1 ¾ per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 2 per cent and the deposit rate is 1 ½ per cent.

The global economic expansion continues to moderate, with growth forecast to slow to 3.4 per cent in 2019 from 3.7 per cent in 2018. In particular, growth in the United States remains solid but is expected to slow to a more sustainable pace through 2019. However, there are increasing signs that the US-China trade conflict is weighing on global demand and commodity prices.

Global benchmark prices for oil have been about 25 per cent lower than assumed in the October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). The lower prices primarily reflect sustained increases in US oil supply and, more recently, increased worries about global demand. These worries among market participants have also been reflected in bond and equity markets.

The drop in global oil prices has a material impact on the Canadian outlook, resulting in lower terms of trade and national income. As well, transportation constraints and rising production have combined to push up oil inventories in the west and exert even more downward pressure on Canadian benchmark prices. While price differentials have narrowed in recent weeks following announced mandatory production cuts in Alberta, investment in Canada’s oil sector is projected to weaken further.

These developments are occurring in the context of a Canadian economy that has been performing well overall. Growth has been running close to potential, employment growth has been strong and unemployment is at a 40-year low. Looking ahead, exports and non-energy investment are projected to grow solidly, supported by foreign demand, the CUSMA, the lower Canadian dollar, and federal tax measures targeted at investment.

Meanwhile, consumption spending and housing investment have been weaker than expected as housing markets adjust to municipal and provincial measures, changes to mortgage guidelines, and higher interest rates. Household spending will be dampened further by slow growth in oil-producing provinces. The Bank will continue to monitor these adjustments.

The Bank projects real GDP will grow by 1.7 per cent in 2019, 0.4 percentage points slower than the October outlook. This revised forecast reflects a temporary slowing in the fourth quarter of 2018 and the first quarter of 2019. This will open up a modest amount of excess capacity, primarily in oil-producing regions. Nevertheless, indicators of demand should start to show renewed momentum in early 2019, leading to above-potential growth of 2.1 per cent in 2020.

Core inflation measures remain clustered close to 2 per cent. As expected, CPI inflation eased to 1.7% in November, due to lower gasoline prices. CPI inflation is projected to edge further down and be below 2 per cent through much of 2019, owing mainly to lower gasoline prices. On the other hand, the lower level of the Canadian dollar will exert some upward pressure on inflation. As these transitory effects unwind and excess capacity is absorbed, inflation will return to around the 2 per cent target by late 2019.

Weighing all of these factors, Governing Council continues to judge that the policy interest rate will need to rise over time into a neutral range to achieve the inflation target. The appropriate pace of rate increases will depend on how the outlook evolves, with a particular focus on developments in oil markets, the Canadian housing market, and global trade policy.

Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is March 6, 2019. The next full update of the Bank’s outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be published in the MPR on April 24, 2019.

The remaining announcement dates in 2019 are as follows:

  • March 6th 2019
  • April 24th 2019*
  • May 29th 2019
  • July 10th 2019*
  • September 4th 2019
  • October 30th 2019*
  • December 4th 2019

* Monetary Policy Report published

To read the Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report for January 9th 2019, click here.

STEPHANIE BARRITT
MORTGAGE EXPERT

CONTACT ME
RECENT POSTS

Your Guide to Real Estate Investment in Canada

By Stephanie Barritt • February 18, 2026
Your Guide to Real Estate Investment in Canada Real estate has long been one of the most popular ways Canadians build wealth. Whether you’re purchasing your first rental property or expanding an existing portfolio, understanding how real estate investment works in Canada—and how it’s financed—is key to making smart decisions. This guide walks through the fundamentals you need to know before getting started. Why Canadians Invest in Real Estate Real estate offers several potential benefits as an investment: Long-term appreciation of property value Rental income that can support cash flow Leverage , allowing you to invest using borrowed funds Tangible asset with intrinsic value Portfolio diversification beyond stocks and bonds When structured properly, real estate can support both income and long-term net worth growth. Types of Real Estate Investments Investors typically focus on one or more of the following: Long-term residential rentals Short-term or vacation rentals (subject to local regulations) Multi-unit residential properties Pre-construction or assignment purchases Value-add properties that require renovations Each type comes with different financing rules, risks, and return profiles. Down Payment Requirements for Investment Properties In Canada, investment properties generally require higher down payments than owner-occupied homes. Typical minimums include: 20% down payment for most rental properties Higher down payments may be required depending on: Number of units Property type Borrower profile Lender guidelines Down payment source, income stability, and credit history all play a role in approval. How Rental Income Is Used to Qualify Lenders don’t always count 100% of rental income. Depending on the lender and mortgage product, they may: Use a rental income offset , or Include a percentage of rental income toward qualification Understanding how income is treated can significantly impact borrowing power. Financing Options for Investors Investment financing can include: Conventional mortgages Insured or insurable options (in limited scenarios) Alternative or broker-only lenders Refinancing equity from existing properties Purchase plus improvements for value-add projects Access to multiple lenders is often crucial for investors as portfolios grow. Key Costs Investors Should Plan For Beyond the purchase price, investors should budget for: Property taxes Insurance Maintenance and repairs Vacancy periods Property management fees (if applicable) Legal and closing costs A realistic cash-flow analysis is essential before buying. Risk Considerations Like any investment, real estate carries risk. Key factors to consider include: Interest rate changes Market fluctuations Tenant turnover Regulatory changes Liquidity (real estate is not easily sold quickly) A strong financing structure can help manage many of these risks. The Role of a Mortgage Professional Investment mortgages are rarely “one-size-fits-all.” Lender policies vary widely, especially as you acquire more properties. Working with an independent mortgage professional allows you to: Compare multiple lender strategies Structure financing for long-term growth Preserve flexibility as your portfolio evolves Avoid costly mistakes early on Final Thoughts Real estate investment in Canada can be a powerful wealth-building tool when approached with a clear strategy and proper financing. Whether you’re exploring your first rental property or planning your next acquisition, understanding the numbers—and the lending landscape—matters. If you’d like to discuss investment property financing, run the numbers, or explore your options, feel free to connect. A well-planned mortgage strategy can make all the difference in long-term success.

Wait! Are You Really Ready to Buy That Home?

By Stephanie Barritt • February 11, 2026
So, you’re thinking about buying a home. You’ve got Pinterest boards full of kitchen inspo, you’re casually scrolling listings at midnight, and your friends are talking about interest rates like they’re the weather. But before you dive headfirst into house hunting— wait . Let’s talk about what “ready” really means when it comes to one of the biggest purchases of your life. Because being ready to own a home is about way more than just having a down payment (although that’s part of it). Here are the real signs you're ready—or not quite yet—to take the plunge into homeownership: 1. You're Financially Stable (and Not Just on Payday) Homeownership isn’t a one-time cost. Sure, there’s the down payment, but don’t forget about: Closing costs Property taxes Maintenance & repairs Insurance Monthly mortgage payments If your budget is stretched thin every month or you don’t have an emergency fund, pressing pause might be smart. Owning a home can be more expensive than renting in the short term—and those unexpected costs will show up. 2. You’ve Got a Steady Income and Job Security Lenders like to see consistency. That doesn’t mean you need to be at the same job forever—but a reliable, documented income (ideally for at least 2 years) goes a long way in qualifying for a mortgage. Thinking of switching jobs or going self-employed? That might affect your eligibility, so timing is everything. 3. You Know Your Credit Score—and You’ve Worked On It Your credit score tells lenders how risky (or trustworthy) you are. A higher score opens more doors (literally), while a lower score may mean higher rates—or a declined application. Pro tip: Pull your credit report before applying. Fix errors, pay down balances, and avoid taking on new debt if you’re planning to buy soon. 4. You’re Ready to Stay Put (At Least for a Bit) Buying a home isn’t just a financial decision—it’s a lifestyle one. If you’re still figuring out your long-term plans, buying might not make sense just yet. Generally, staying in your home for at least 3–5 years helps balance the upfront costs and gives your investment time to grow. If you’re more of a “see where life takes me” person right now, that’s totally fine—renting can offer the flexibility you need. 5. You’re Not Just Buying Because Everyone Else Is This one’s big. You’re not behind. You’re not failing. And buying a home just because it seems like the “adult” thing to do is a fast way to end up with buyer’s remorse. Are you buying because it fits your goals? Because you’re ready to settle, invest in your future, and take care of a space that’s all yours? If the answer is yes—you’re in the right headspace. So… Are You Ready? If you’re nodding along to most of these, amazing! You might be more ready than you think. If you’re realizing there are a few things to get in order, that’s okay too. It’s way better to prepare well than to rush into something you're not ready for. Wherever you’re at, I’d love to help you take the next step—whether that’s getting pre-approved, making a plan, or just asking questions without pressure. Let’s make sure your homebuying journey starts strong. Connect anytime—I’m here when you’re ready.